Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona St Sun Devils v Utah Utes

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona St Sun Devils (Local)

Prediction 75.32%1.33fair odd
EV -4.34%
Edge -3.42%
Kelly -16.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.80%75.27%75.45%76.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.251.2781.97%80.17%80.00%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Utes (Visit)

Prediction 24.68%4.05fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.322%
Kelly -0.430%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.52%24.73%24.55%26.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.763.754.0028.17%26.57%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona St Sun Devils (Local): 75.32%; Utah Utes (Visit): 24.68%. For Utah Utes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -1.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.34%E -3.42%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 12:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.40%EV -4.34%E -3.42%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.60%EV -8.94%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.40%EV -4.34%E -3.42%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.60%EV -8.94%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 16:05
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.09%E -4.04%K -19.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.76%E -0.963%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 19:55
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.09%E -4.04%K -19.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -12.39%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 18:00
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.09%E -4.04%K -19.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -12.39%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 18:00
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.09%E -4.04%K -19.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -12.39%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 18:00
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 09:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 09:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 09:30
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 19:54
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.60%E -5.32%K -27.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.76%E -0.963%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 19:50
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.30%EV -6.60%E -5.32%K -27.50%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.70%EV -6.72%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 17:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.60%E -5.32%K -27.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 16:10
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.35%E -5.98%K -31.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.29%E -0.322%K -0.430%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 12:35
Bovada🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -7.35%E -5.98%K -31.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -3.76%E -0.963%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 19:58
MyBookie.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -7.35%E -5.98%K -31.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -3.76%E -0.963%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 19:35
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -3.76%E -0.963%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 12:35
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%4.9%2026-04-12 19:50