Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.18
assuming max odds 5.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona St Sun Devils (Local): 81.06%; Utah Utes (Visit): 18.94%. For Utah Utes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.25, with an expected value of -0.567%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 16:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.35%E -3.69%K -24.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.77%E -3.28%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 01:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.76%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.24%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 16:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.76%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.24%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 16:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -12.88%E -2.80%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -12.88%E -2.80%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.16%E -4.41%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -12.88%E -2.80%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 18:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.97%E -5.15%K -37.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 14:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.567%E -0.108%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 18:33 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.567%E -0.108%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 19:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.20%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.51%E -0.291%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 18:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.57%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.20%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.43%EV -3.60%E -0.707%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-10 19:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.78%E -5.90%K -45.20%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.20%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 19:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.59%E -6.66%K -54.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 18:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -7.59%E -6.66%K -54.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -10.04%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-10 23:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.47% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.53% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 00:30 |