The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Arizona St Sun Devils v Utah Utes

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 01:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona St Sun Devils (Local)

Prediction 79.14%1.26fair odd
EV -5.03%
Edge -4.19%
Kelly -25.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.78%79.14%78.95%79.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.191.191.2085.47%84.07%84.03%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Utes (Visit)

Prediction 20.86%4.79fair odd
EV -0.913%
Edge -0.192%
Kelly -0.243%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.07%20.86%21.05%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.474.504.7523.81%22.40%22.22%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona St Sun Devils (Local): 79.14%; Utah Utes (Visit): 20.86%. For Utah Utes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.75, with an expected value of -0.913%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.913%E -0.192%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 23:49
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.13%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 14:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.13%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 14:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.13%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.13%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 19:45
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 19:10
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 19:40
1xBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.06%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.16%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 21.94%EV -10.93%E -2.56%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 16:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.39%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 23:55
Bovada🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.82%E -4.89%K -30.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 19:13
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -1.96%E -0.416%K -0.529%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 23:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.79%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.75%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.21%EV -2.79%E -0.599%K -0.762%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 23:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.79%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.75%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.21%EV -2.79%E -0.599%K -0.762%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 23:45
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.13%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 23:45
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -9.26%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 15:45
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -9.26%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 15:45
Bally Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -9.26%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 15:45
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -11.34%E -2.67%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 19:45
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.41%E -6.33%K -43.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.04%E -0.879%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 23:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%5.3%2026-04-12 01:09