The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Arizona St Sun Devils v UNLV Rebels

Kickoff: 2026-04-09 01:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona St Sun Devils (Local)

Prediction 82.29%1.22fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -16.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.85%81.87%82.56%83.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.151.151.1888.50%86.96%87.34%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UNLV Rebels (Visit)

Prediction 17.71%5.65fair odd
EV +1.85%
Edge +0.321%
Kelly +0.389%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.55%18.13%17.44%21.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.125.165.7522.73%19.51%19.38%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona St Sun Devils (Local): 82.29%; UNLV Rebels (Visit): 17.71%. For UNLV Rebels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.65. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.85%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.19%E -5.43%K -44.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.85%E +0.321%K +0.389%G +0.007%5.1%2026-04-09 01:35
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.19%E -5.43%K -44.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.58%E -0.469%K -0.574%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 01:35
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.19%E -5.43%K -44.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.58%E -0.469%K -0.574%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 01:29
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.19%E -5.43%K -44.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.58%E -0.469%K -0.574%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 01:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.19%E -5.43%K -44.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.58%E -0.469%K -0.574%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 01:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.19%E -5.43%K -44.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.58%E -0.469%K -0.574%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 01:29
Bovada🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -7.02%E -6.21%K -53.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -4.35%E -0.806%K -0.989%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 01:31
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.01%E -1.34%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 01:33
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -7.02%E -6.21%K -53.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.01%E -1.34%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 01:34
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.51%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.80%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.49%EV -10.20%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 01:34
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.45%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.80%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.55%EV -10.55%E -2.09%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 01:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.20%EV -4.55%E -3.92%K -28.41%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 18.80%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 01:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.20%EV -4.55%E -3.92%K -28.41%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 18.80%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 01:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.44%E -2.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 01:34
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -6.19%E -5.43%K -44.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -15.87%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-09 01:34
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.90%E -2.46%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -22.07%E -5.01%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 01:35
Bally Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.90%E -2.46%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -22.07%E -5.01%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 01:35
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.90%E -2.46%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -22.07%E -5.01%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 01:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.