The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Arizona St Sun Devils v TCU Horned Frogs

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 01:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona St Sun Devils (Local)

Prediction 66.31%1.51fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -3.14%
Kelly -10.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.79%66.56%66.31%68.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.401.4473.53%71.08%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TCU Horned Frogs (Visit)

Prediction 33.69%2.97fair odd
EV -0.271%
Edge -0.092%
Kelly -0.138%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.80%33.44%33.69%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.772.752.9637.74%36.08%36.36%33.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona St Sun Devils (Local): 66.31%; TCU Horned Frogs (Visit): 33.69%. For TCU Horned Frogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.96, with an expected value of -0.271%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV -8.69%E -3.21%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 20:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV -8.69%E -3.21%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 20:04
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.72%E -4.04%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 20:00
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 22:00
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 14:35
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -8.36%E -3.07%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 00:19
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.51%E -4.61%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 22:59
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.791%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 00:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.75%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 14:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 20:19
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 10:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 10:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 10:24
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 15:40
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 16:58
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 17:00
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -8.50%E -6.16%K -22.36%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -0.271%E -0.092%K -0.138%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 14:39
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 01:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.40I 71.43%NM 67.67%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.33%5.6%2026-03-14 00:54