Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona St Sun Devils v St. John's Red Storm

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 20:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona St Sun Devils (Local)

Prediction 82.83%1.21fair odd
EV -4.75%
Edge -4.13%
Kelly -31.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.92%82.79%82.83%84.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.131.141.1590.09%88.26%87.72%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. John's Red Storm (Visit)

Prediction 17.17%5.82fair odd
EV +3.04%
Edge +0.506%
Kelly +0.607%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.73%17.21%17.17%19.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.285.506.0021.05%18.92%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona St Sun Devils (Local): 82.83%; St. John's Red Storm (Visit): 17.17%. For St. John's Red Storm (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.23%E -6.46%K -60.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.04%E +0.506%K +0.607%G +0.018%6.0%2026-02-22 14:59
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -8.06%E -7.26%K -73.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -1.26%E -0.219%K -0.265%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 20:05
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.58%E -4.89%K -39.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 00:10
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.58%E -4.89%K -39.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.58%E -4.89%K -39.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 14:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.58%E -4.89%K -39.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 14:59
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.40%E -5.67%K -49.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 01:20
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.75%E -4.13%K -31.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 13:59
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.23%E -6.46%K -60.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 20:05
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -5.58%E -4.89%K -39.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -15.85%E -3.24%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 14:59
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -5.58%E -4.89%K -39.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -15.85%E -3.24%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 14:59
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -5.58%E -4.89%K -39.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -15.85%E -3.24%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 14:59
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.92%EV -7.23%E -6.46%K -60.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -18.43%E -3.88%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 17:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.