Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona St Sun Devils v South Dakota St Jackrabbits

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona St Sun Devils (Local)

Prediction 81.31%1.23fair odd
EV -4.87%
Edge -4.16%
Kelly -28.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.54%81.43%81.32%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.151.151.1787.72%86.77%86.58%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Dakota St Jackrabbits (Visit)

Prediction 18.69%5.35fair odd
EV +7.48%
Edge +1.30%
Kelly +1.57%
Growth +0.118%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.67%18.57%18.68%19.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.085.005.7520.83%19.68%20.00%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona St Sun Devils (Local): 81.31%; South Dakota St Jackrabbits (Visit): 18.69%. For South Dakota St Jackrabbits (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.35. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -6.50%E -5.65%K -43.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +7.48%E +1.30%K +1.57%G +0.118%4.3%2026-05-30 18:51
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.31%E -6.41%K -52.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.80%E +0.510%K +0.623%G +0.017%5.9%2026-05-30 19:00
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.81%E -0.539%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 18:58
MyBookie.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.68%E -4.90%K -35.51%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.67%E -0.917%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 19:00
Fliff🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -7.31%E -6.41%K -52.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -4.67%E -0.917%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.20%EV -5.68%E -4.90%K -35.51%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 18.80%EV -6.36%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.20%EV -5.68%E -4.90%K -35.51%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 18.80%EV -6.36%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 18:59
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.68%E -4.90%K -35.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.54%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.68%E -4.90%K -35.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.54%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 19:01
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.50%E -5.65%K -43.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.54%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 18:58
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.31%E -6.41%K -52.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.54%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.31%E -6.41%K -52.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.54%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 19:00
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.31%E -6.41%K -52.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.54%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 19:00
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.31%E -6.41%K -52.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.54%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 19:00
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.87%E -4.16%K -28.64%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -9.35%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 18:59
BetUS🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.68%E -4.90%K -35.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -10.28%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 18:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%9.3%2026-05-30 18:59