Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.61
assuming max odds 2.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona St Sun Devils (Local): 60.87%; Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visit): 39.13%. For Arizona St Sun Devils (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.61, with an expected value of -2.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -2.01%E -1.25%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -10.77%E -4.73%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 23:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -2.01%E -1.25%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -10.77%E -4.73%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 23:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -2.01%E -1.25%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -10.77%E -4.73%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 23:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.22%E -2.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 15:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.05%E -3.24%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 16:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.05%E -3.24%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.05%E -3.24%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 20:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.05%E -3.24%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -8.82%E -3.78%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.27%E -4.07%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 16:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.27%E -4.07%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 19:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.88%E -4.49%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.12%E -1.68%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 19:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.88%E -4.49%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 19:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.88%E -4.49%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 19:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.88%E -4.49%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 19:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.48%E -4.92%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.16%E -0.866%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 21:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -8.09%E -5.36%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 00:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -8.09%E -5.36%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 00:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -8.09%E -5.36%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 00:14 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 00:44 |