Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.91
assuming max odds 2.24
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona St Sun Devils (Local): 55.95%; Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visit): 44.05%. For Arizona St Sun Devils (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.87%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +6.87%E +3.60%K +7.55%G +0.519% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -19.39%E -10.60%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 19:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +6.87%E +3.60%K +7.55%G +0.519% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -19.39%E -10.60%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 19:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +0.715%E +0.397%K +0.893%G +0.006% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -14.11%E -7.23%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 19:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -2.64%E -1.52%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -9.26%E -4.50%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 14:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -8.82%E -4.26%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 19:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.44%E -3.22%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 19:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.10%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 05:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.30%E -2.46%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.50%E -3.57%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 07:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.50%E -3.57%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 07:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.50%E -3.57%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 07:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.50%E -3.57%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 17:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.12%E -4.29%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.62%E -3.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.12%E -4.29%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.62%E -3.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.12%E -4.29%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.62%E -3.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.24%E -5.02%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -4.42%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 17:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -9.36%E -5.78%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -1.33%E -0.595%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 17:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.36%E -5.78%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.10%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.57% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.43% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 19:49 |