Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.59
assuming max odds 2.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona St Sun Devils (Local): 60.91%; Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visit): 39.09%. For Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.64%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -12.90%E -9.02%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV +1.64%E +0.632%K +1.03%G +0.017% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 19:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -12.90%E -9.02%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV +1.64%E +0.632%K +1.03%G +0.017% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 19:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -12.90%E -9.02%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV +1.64%E +0.632%K +1.03%G +0.017% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 19:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.03%E -5.32%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -2.27%E -0.907%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 20:43 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -3.83%E -1.56%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 22:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.16%E -1.99%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.18%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 11:43 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.18%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 04:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.18%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 22:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.20%E -4.03%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.18%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 05:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.20%E -4.03%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.18%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 05:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.18%E -2.57%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 19:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.96%E -2.92%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 07:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.96%E -2.92%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 07:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.96%E -2.92%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 07:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV -6.20%E -4.03%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -7.35%E -3.10%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 23:13 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -7.74%E -3.28%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -7.74%E -3.28%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -7.74%E -3.28%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 20:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.13%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |