Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona St Sun Devils v New Mexico St Aggies

Kickoff: 2026-03-26 01:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona St Sun Devils (Local)

Prediction 85.98%1.16fair odd
EV -4.57%
Edge -4.11%
Kelly -41.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.96%86.10%85.88%87.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.091.081.1193.46%91.87%92.59%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Mexico St Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 14.02%7.13fair odd
EV +9.38%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.38%
Growth +0.129%

assuming max odds 7.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.06%13.90%14.12%15.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.106.716.757.8016.39%14.91%14.81%12.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona St Sun Devils (Local): 85.98%; New Mexico St Aggies (Visit): 14.02%. For New Mexico St Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.38%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.35%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV +9.38%E +1.20%K +1.38%G +0.129%6.3%2026-03-25 20:50
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.14%E -6.62%K -89.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -1.84%E -0.263%K -0.306%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-25 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.14%E -6.62%K -89.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -1.84%E -0.263%K -0.306%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-25 14:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.14%E -6.62%K -89.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -1.84%E -0.263%K -0.306%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-25 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -1.84%E -0.263%K -0.306%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-25 16:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.29%EV -7.14%E -6.62%K -89.31%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -4.64%E -0.683%K -0.800%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-25 22:35
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.57%E -4.11%K -41.51%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.34%E -0.792%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 13:37
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.29%E -5.77%K -69.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -5.34%E -0.792%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-26 01:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.29%E -5.77%K -69.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -5.34%E -0.792%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-25 16:29
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -7.14%E -6.62%K -89.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -5.34%E -0.792%K -0.929%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-25 16:29
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -7.14%E -6.62%K -89.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -5.34%E -0.792%K -0.929%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-25 16:30
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -7.14%E -6.62%K -89.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -5.34%E -0.792%K -0.929%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-25 16:30
1xBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.90%EV -6.29%E -5.77%K -69.84%G +0.000%6.64I 15.06%NM 14.10%EV -6.89%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 21:00
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.57%E -4.11%K -41.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 23:50
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.14%E -6.62%K -89.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-25 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.26%EV -4.57%E -4.11%K -41.51%G +0.000%6.42I 15.58%NM 14.74%EV -9.97%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-25 12:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.26%EV -4.57%E -4.11%K -41.51%G +0.000%6.42I 15.58%NM 14.74%EV -9.97%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-25 12:24
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.43%E -4.93%K -54.25%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -12.36%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-25 00:15
BetUS🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.43%E -4.93%K -54.25%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -12.36%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-25 15:45
Fliff🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -7.14%E -6.62%K -89.31%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -14.46%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-25 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%5.5%2026-03-26 00:25