Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.09
assuming max odds 8.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona St Sun Devils (Local): 87.03%; Loyola Marymount Lions (Visit): 12.97%. For Loyola Marymount Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.71. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.74%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.75%E -7.31%K -129.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.74%E +0.468%K +0.534%G +0.020% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 07:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -6.88%E -6.43%K -98.22%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV +1.15%E +0.147%K +0.169%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 15:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.53%EV -6.00%E -5.56%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 7.58I 13.19%NM 12.47%EV -1.71%E -0.225%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.53%EV -6.00%E -5.56%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 7.58I 13.19%NM 12.47%EV -1.71%E -0.225%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 21:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.13%E -4.71%K -57.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.74%E -0.366%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 04:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.88%E -6.43%K -98.22%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -2.74%E -0.366%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 05:06 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -6.00%E -5.56%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -5.99%E -0.826%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 23:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.00%E -5.56%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.23%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 04:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.47%EV -6.00%E -5.56%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.53%EV -10.52%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 15:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.40%EV -6.00%E -5.56%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 13.60%EV -11.04%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.00%E -5.56%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.71%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 15:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.00%E -5.56%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -17.01%E -2.66%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 01:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.00%E -5.56%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -17.01%E -2.66%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 01:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.00%E -5.56%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -17.01%E -2.66%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 01:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.53% | 8.26I 12.11%NM 11.47% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 00:24 |