Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.11
assuming max odds 7.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona St Sun Devils (Local): 85.70%; Loyola Marymount Lions (Visit): 14.30%. For Loyola Marymount Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.99. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.130%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.59%E -6.05%K -73.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +0.130%E +0.019%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 19:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.59%E -6.05%K -73.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +0.130%E +0.019%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 19:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.88%E -4.39%K -44.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.45%E -0.510%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 18:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.59%E -6.05%K -73.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -3.45%E -0.510%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 18:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.45%E -6.90%K -93.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 19:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.05%EV -5.73%E -5.21%K -57.35%G +0.000% | 6.26I 15.97%NM 14.95%EV -10.45%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 19:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -5.73%E -5.21%K -57.35%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -11.31%E -1.82%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.59%E -6.05%K -73.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -14.17%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 19:13 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -4.88%E -4.39%K -44.34%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -19.90%E -3.55%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 19:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -4.88%E -4.39%K -44.34%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -19.90%E -3.55%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 19:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -4.88%E -4.39%K -44.34%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -19.90%E -3.55%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 19:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.25% | 7.46I 13.40%NM 12.75% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 19:14 |