Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona St Sun Devils v Arizona Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-11 01:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona St Sun Devils (Local)

Prediction 66.75%1.50fair odd
EV -4.54%
Edge -3.18%
Kelly -10.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.38%66.85%66.27%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.401.4373.53%71.36%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 33.25%3.01fair odd
EV -0.259%
Edge -0.086%
Kelly -0.130%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.51%33.15%33.73%34.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.822.803.0037.04%35.49%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona St Sun Devils (Local): 66.75%; Arizona Wildcats (Visit): 33.25%. For Arizona Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -0.259%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.54%E -3.18%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-10 15:59
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.54%E -3.18%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.57%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 22:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.71%EV -4.54%E -3.18%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.29%EV -8.90%E -3.25%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.71%EV -4.54%E -3.18%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.29%EV -8.90%E -3.25%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 18:45
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.54%E -3.18%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -10.23%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 19:14
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.88%E -4.17%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 00:53
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%EV -5.88%E -4.17%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -8.24%E -2.98%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 22:20
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 22:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:40
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.57%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 17:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -7.21%E -5.19%K -18.50%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -5.91%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 22:20
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.88%E -5.71%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.259%E -0.086%K -0.130%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 22:10
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.22%E -6.78%K -25.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 22:10
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.22%E -6.78%K -25.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 22:10
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.22%E -6.78%K -25.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 22:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%5.7%2026-03-11 00:25