The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Appalachian St Mountaineers v Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Appalachian St Mountaineers (Local)

Prediction 24.72%4.05fair odd
EV +8.75%
Edge +1.99%
Kelly +2.57%
Growth +0.225%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.43%24.71%24.68%28.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.763.754.4030.30%26.60%26.67%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit)

Prediction 75.28%1.33fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -7.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.90%75.29%75.32%78.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.251.251.3083.33%80.08%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Appalachian St Mountaineers (Local): 24.72%; Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit): 75.28%. For Appalachian St Mountaineers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.05. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +8.75%E +1.99%K +2.57%G +0.225%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -9.66%E -8.05%K -48.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 20:35
BetOnline.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +8.75%E +1.99%K +2.57%G +0.225%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -9.66%E -8.05%K -48.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 20:35
BetUS🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +3.81%E +0.907%K +1.19%G +0.045%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -9.66%E -8.05%K -48.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 20:35
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +1.34%E +0.326%K +0.431%G +0.006%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 20:29
FanDuel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.84%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.90%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 20:35
DraftKings🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.90%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:29
theScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.65%E -5.36%K -27.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:35
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.90%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 20:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.90%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 20:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.90%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 20:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.90%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 20:35
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.49%E -3.86%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.90%E -4.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 17:29
1xBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -17.20%E -5.13%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.13%E -1.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 20:50
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -18.44%E -5.59%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -2.88%E -2.24%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 16:30
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -18.44%E -5.59%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -2.88%E -2.24%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 16:30
Bally Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -18.44%E -5.59%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -2.88%E -2.24%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 16:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.