Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Appalachian St Mountaineers v Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Appalachian St Mountaineers (Local)

Prediction 24.26%4.12fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.429%
Kelly -0.570%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.15%24.22%24.12%25.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.683.833.754.0527.17%26.14%26.67%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Visit)

Prediction 75.74%1.32fair odd
EV -5.33%
Edge -4.26%
Kelly -21.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.65%75.78%75.88%76.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.241.241.2582.64%80.82%80.65%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Appalachian St Mountaineers (Local): 24.26%; Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Visit): 75.74%. For Appalachian St Mountaineers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.05, with an expected value of -1.74%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -1.74%E -0.429%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -7.60%E -6.23%K -34.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 15:50
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.95%E -0.738%K -0.984%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.08%E -4.91%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 14:59
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -2.95%E -0.738%K -0.984%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -8.36%E -6.91%K -39.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 16:04
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.38%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.08%E -4.91%K -25.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 15:49
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.38%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.08%E -4.91%K -25.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 16:09
MyBookie.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.59%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -6.84%E -5.56%K -29.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 16:15
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.02%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.02%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 20:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.02%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.02%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.08%E -4.91%K -25.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 16:03
Bally Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.02%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.08%E -4.91%K -25.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 17:50
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.02%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.08%E -4.91%K -25.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 17:49
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.02%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.08%E -4.91%K -25.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 17:49
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.02%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.60%E -6.23%K -34.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 15:55
1xBet🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -10.72%E -2.91%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.65%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 20:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%5.2%2026-03-13 21:49