Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Appalachian St Mountaineers v Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Appalachian St Mountaineers (Local)

Prediction 24.71%4.05fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.287%
Kelly -0.382%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.52%24.56%24.73%25.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.593.773.754.0027.86%26.51%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Visit)

Prediction 75.29%1.33fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -3.45%
Kelly -16.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.02%75.44%75.27%76.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.241.251.2781.97%80.36%80.32%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Appalachian St Mountaineers (Local): 24.71%; Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Visit): 75.29%. For Appalachian St Mountaineers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -1.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.15%E -0.287%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.40%E -6.01%K -32.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 13:55
theScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -3.62%E -0.928%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.81I 26.25%NM 24.70%EV -5.84%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.30%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.81I 26.25%NM 24.70%EV -5.84%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.30%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 18:35
DraftKings🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 13:50
MyBookie.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.64%E -5.36%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 18:15
Bovada🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.64%E -5.36%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:19
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.33%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.39%E -3.45%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 03:59
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.33%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 08:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.33%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 08:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.33%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.89%E -4.71%K -23.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 08:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.33%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.64%E -5.36%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:03
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.33%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.64%E -5.36%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:00
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.33%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.64%E -5.36%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:00
Bally Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.33%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.64%E -5.36%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:05
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.33%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.15%E -6.68%K -37.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:04
BetUS🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -9.80%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.14%E -4.08%K -19.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 18:35
1xBet🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 25.98%EV -11.28%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -5.14%E -4.08%K -19.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig4.03I 24.81%NM 23.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.47%5.5%2026-03-14 18:15