The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Alabama Crimson Tide v UAB Blazers

Kickoff: 2026-04-21 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)

Prediction 71.86%1.39fair odd
EV -4.42%
Edge -3.33%
Kelly -13.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.64%71.96%71.81%73.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.311.311.3377.52%76.50%76.63%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UAB Blazers (Visit)

Prediction 28.14%3.55fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.434%
Kelly -0.608%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.93%28.04%28.19%29.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.343.303.5031.25%29.95%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 71.86%; UAB Blazers (Visit): 28.14%. For UAB Blazers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -1.52%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.42%E -3.33%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 13:43
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.42%E -3.33%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 01:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.49%EV -5.14%E -3.89%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.51%EV -6.87%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.49%EV -5.14%E -3.89%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.51%EV -6.87%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 13:40
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.14%E -3.89%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 23:15
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -5.14%E -3.89%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.01%EV -9.12%E -2.82%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 13:45
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.86%E -4.47%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 00:23
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.40%EV -5.86%E -4.47%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -7.99%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 20:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -5.86%E -4.47%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 19:30
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 20:05
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 19:05
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 19:05
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 19:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.62%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.93%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.38%EV -7.71%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 19:35
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.30%E -5.66%K -25.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.52%E -0.434%K -0.608%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 21:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.30%E -5.66%K -25.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.52%E -0.434%K -0.608%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 21:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.30%E -5.66%K -25.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.52%E -0.434%K -0.608%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 21:59
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.30%E -5.66%K -25.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.52%E -0.434%K -0.608%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 19:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%4.9%2026-04-21 22:20