The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Alabama Crimson Tide v UAB Blazers

Kickoff: 2026-04-14 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)

Prediction 69.95%1.43fair odd
EV -4.86%
Edge -3.58%
Kelly -13.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%69.84%69.91%70.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.351.351.3675.19%74.14%74.07%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UAB Blazers (Visit)

Prediction 30.05%3.33fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -0.722%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.36%30.16%30.09%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.083.083.2533.33%32.47%32.47%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 69.95%; UAB Blazers (Visit): 30.05%. For UAB Blazers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -2.35%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.86%E -3.58%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.35%E -0.722%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 19:39
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.86%E -3.58%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 23:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.86%E -3.58%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 22:05
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.86%E -3.58%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 21:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.86%E -3.58%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 21:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.86%E -3.58%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 21:05
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.56%E -4.12%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 04:14
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.18%EV -5.56%E -4.12%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.82%EV -8.96%E -2.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 20:55
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.56%E -4.12%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 15:05
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.56%E -4.12%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 15:04
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.56%E -4.12%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 15:05
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.26%E -4.67%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.26%E -4.67%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.26%E -4.67%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 19:40
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.26%E -4.67%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 05:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.26%E -4.67%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 19:44
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -6.26%E -4.67%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -8.05%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 19:45
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.96%E -5.24%K -21.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 20:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%5.0%2026-04-14 22:35