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Alabama Crimson Tide v Troy Trojans
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)
assuming max odds 1.30
Troy Trojans (Visit)
assuming max odds 3.65
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 73.13%; Troy Trojans (Visit): 26.87%. For Troy Trojans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.65, with an expected value of -1.93%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.40%EV -4.93%E -3.79%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.60%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.40%EV -4.93%E -3.79%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.60%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.93%E -3.79%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 15:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.93%E -3.79%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.93%E -3.79%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 19:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.66%E -4.39%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.27%E -0.909%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 15:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.66%E -4.39%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 17:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.66%E -4.39%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 15:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.66%E -4.39%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-10 15:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.00%EV -6.39%E -4.99%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.00%EV -7.03%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 18:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.12%E -5.61%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -1.93%E -0.529%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-10 17:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.12%E -5.61%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.27%E -0.909%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.12%E -5.61%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.12%E -5.61%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 17:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.12%E -5.61%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 17:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |