The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Alabama Crimson Tide v Ole Miss Rebels

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)

Prediction 36.68%2.73fair odd
EV -0.958%
Edge -0.355%
Kelly -0.563%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%37.11%36.59%40.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.492.522.7043.48%40.22%39.68%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ole Miss Rebels (Visit)

Prediction 63.32%1.58fair odd
EV +1.31%
Edge +0.818%
Kelly +2.18%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.59%62.89%63.41%65.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.511.501.6068.97%66.09%66.67%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 36.68%; Ole Miss Rebels (Visit): 63.32%. For Ole Miss Rebels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -13.43%E -5.69%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV +1.31%E +0.818%K +2.18%G +0.029%4.9%2026-05-16 18:59
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -15.63%E -6.80%K -12.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -1.22%E -0.785%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 18:30
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -15.63%E -6.80%K -12.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -1.22%E -0.785%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 18:30
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -15.63%E -6.80%K -12.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -1.22%E -0.785%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 18:30
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -12.70%E -5.33%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -12.70%E -5.33%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -12.70%E -5.33%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 16:55
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 17:24
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 17:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 18:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.83%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -7.19%E -2.84%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -7.19%E -2.84%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:15
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 17:23
BetUS🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -7.56%E -3.00%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.84%EV -5.66%E -3.80%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 17:15
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -3.89%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 18:55
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 18:34
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 18:55
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.958%E -0.355%K -0.563%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.45I 40.82%NM 33.78%1.25I 80.00%NM 66.22%20.8%2026-05-16 16:30