The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Alabama Crimson Tide v Ole Miss Rebels

Kickoff: 2026-05-14 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)

Prediction 47.59%2.10fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.48%47.47%48.00%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.971.962.0552.36%50.73%51.02%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ole Miss Rebels (Visit)

Prediction 52.41%1.91fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -4.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%52.53%52.00%54.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.781.801.8458.48%56.20%55.56%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 47.59%; Ole Miss Rebels (Visit): 52.41%. For Alabama Crimson Tide (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -2.44%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.44%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.81%E -5.06%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 23:25
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.44%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.81%E -5.06%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 23:25
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -2.44%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -10.38%E -6.07%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 18:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -3.39%E -1.67%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -7.76%E -4.41%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:45
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -3.87%E -1.92%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -9.85%E -5.73%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 17:45
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -3.87%E -1.92%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -9.85%E -5.73%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 17:45
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -3.87%E -1.92%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -9.85%E -5.73%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 17:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.23%E -4.09%K -9.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 17:40
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.77%E -2.92%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.56%E -1.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 22:15
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.73%E -3.43%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.09%E -2.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:40
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 18:45
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.81%E -5.06%K -11.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 19:10
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.10%E -4.77%K -10.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.09%E -2.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 17:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.10%E -4.77%K -10.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.09%E -2.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.10%E -4.77%K -10.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.09%E -2.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 18:45
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.10%E -4.77%K -10.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.09%E -2.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 18:45
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.10%E -4.77%K -10.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.10%E -4.77%K -10.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.10%E -4.77%K -10.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 20:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%10.0%2026-05-14 22:35