Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama Crimson Tide v Oklahoma Sooners

Kickoff: 2026-06-13 19:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)

Prediction 45.55%2.20fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.746%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.75%45.68%45.71%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.032.1651.28%49.13%49.26%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma Sooners (Visit)

Prediction 54.45%1.84fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%54.32%54.29%56.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.761.8059.88%57.45%56.82%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 45.55%; Oklahoma Sooners (Visit): 54.45%. For Alabama Crimson Tide (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.16, with an expected value of -1.61%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -1.61%E -0.746%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.53%E -5.07%K -12.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 19:00
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.07%E -0.961%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.98%E -4.72%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 19:00
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.89%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 18:57
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.98%E -4.72%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 19:00
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.07%E -5.43%K -13.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 19:01
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.80%E -2.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 18:59
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.71%E -2.76%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 18:50
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 19:01
MyBookie.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -7.53%E -3.71%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 19:00
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.90%E -4.45%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-13 19:00
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.90%E -4.45%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-13 19:00
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -8.90%E -4.45%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.07%E -5.43%K -13.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-13 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.18%E -5.73%K -11.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.99%E -1.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.18%E -5.73%K -11.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.99%E -1.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 19:00
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -11.18%E -5.73%K -11.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-13 19:00
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -11.18%E -5.73%K -11.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-13 19:00
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -11.18%E -5.73%K -11.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -3.62%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-13 19:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%1.5%2026-06-13 19:01
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-06-13 19:01