The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Alabama Crimson Tide v North Florida Ospreys

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)

Prediction 83.11%1.20fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -16.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.40%82.80%83.82%84.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.131.131.1790.09%88.24%88.50%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Florida Ospreys (Visit)

Prediction 16.89%5.92fair odd
EV +1.33%
Edge +0.222%
Kelly +0.267%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.73%17.20%16.18%19.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.385.396.0020.83%18.60%18.55%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 83.11%; North Florida Ospreys (Visit): 16.89%. For North Florida Ospreys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.92. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.92%E -6.17%K -57.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +1.33%E +0.222%K +0.267%G +0.004%6.0%2026-03-08 17:24
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.92%E -6.17%K -57.63%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -2.04%E -0.353%K -0.426%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 17:29
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.75%E -6.98%K -70.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -2.89%E -0.503%K -0.608%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 17:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.25%E -4.61%K -37.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 17:29
1xBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.67%EV -6.08%E -5.38%K -46.80%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.33%EV -8.97%E -1.66%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 16:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -6.08%E -5.38%K -46.80%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -10.49%E -1.98%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 17:34
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.92%E -6.17%K -57.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -15.56%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 15:54
Bovada🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.44%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -18.09%E -3.73%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 14:48
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -2.76%E -2.36%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -18.93%E -3.94%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 14:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 83.06%5.59I 17.89%NM 16.94%5.6%2026-03-08 17:29