The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Alabama Crimson Tide v Iowa Hawkeyes

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)

Prediction 61.84%1.62fair odd
EV +0.180%
Edge +0.111%
Kelly +0.290%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.25%61.71%61.65%65.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.511.531.6270.42%66.17%65.36%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit)

Prediction 38.16%2.62fair odd
EV +4.94%
Edge +1.80%
Kelly +2.82%
Growth +0.140%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.05%38.29%38.35%41.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.222.462.462.7545.05%40.62%40.73%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 61.84%; Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit): 38.16%. For Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.94%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -12.19%E -8.58%K -29.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +4.94%E +1.80%K +2.82%G +0.140%6.8%2026-02-27 23:44
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.48%E -5.73%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -0.783%E -0.301%K -0.489%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 23:44
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -11.57%E -8.09%K -26.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -0.783%E -0.301%K -0.489%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:34
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -11.57%E -8.09%K -26.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -0.783%E -0.301%K -0.489%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:35
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -11.57%E -8.09%K -26.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -0.783%E -0.301%K -0.489%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:35
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 22:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.13%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 23:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.13%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 23:19
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 17:35
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.41%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 19:59
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.18%E -3.86%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 23:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.18%E -3.86%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 23:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.18%E -3.86%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 23:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.91%E -1.85%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.32%E -4.39%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 18:44
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV +0.180%E +0.111%K +0.290%G +0.001%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -13.76%E -6.09%K -10.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 21:44
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.89%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -15.28%E -6.88%K -12.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 21:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.