The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Alabama Crimson Tide v Florida Gators

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)

Prediction 45.91%2.18fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -3.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%45.83%45.91%46.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.052.052.1051.28%48.82%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida Gators (Visit)

Prediction 54.09%1.85fair odd
EV -4.80%
Edge -2.73%
Kelly -6.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.57%54.17%54.09%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.731.741.7659.17%57.78%57.47%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 45.91%; Florida Gators (Visit): 54.09%. For Alabama Crimson Tide (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -3.59%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.59%E -1.71%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.51%E -4.39%K -10.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 12:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -4.05%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -7.51%E -4.39%K -10.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 12:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -4.05%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -7.51%E -4.39%K -10.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 12:45
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.88%E -3.38%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 00:54
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.88%E -3.38%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 01:04
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.88%E -3.38%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 01:17
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.88%E -3.38%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 02:13
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.88%E -3.38%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 12:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.88%E -3.38%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 13:54
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.34%E -3.11%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.80%E -2.73%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 13:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.15%EV -6.80%E -3.35%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -5.88%E -3.38%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 16:53
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.15%EV -6.80%E -3.35%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -5.88%E -3.38%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 15:30
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.43%EV -10.47%E -5.37%K -11.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.57%EV -8.59%E -5.08%K -12.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 02:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.01I 49.75%NM 45.82%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%8.6%2026-03-22 16:55