The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Alabama Crimson Tide v Florida Gators

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)

Prediction 41.74%2.40fair odd
EV +0.168%
Edge +0.070%
Kelly +0.120%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.74%41.78%41.86%43.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.252.4047.62%44.63%44.54%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida Gators (Visit)

Prediction 58.26%1.72fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -4.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.08%58.22%58.14%60.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.621.621.6764.52%61.90%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 41.74%; Florida Gators (Visit): 58.26%. For Alabama Crimson Tide (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.396. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.400, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.168%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +0.168%E +0.070%K +0.120%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.36%E -4.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 15:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -1.50%E -0.636%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 16:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -1.50%E -0.636%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 17:04
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.92%E -0.816%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 16:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -1.92%E -0.816%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.69%E -6.25%K -17.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:10
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.68%E -2.51%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:14
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 18:54
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 17:42
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.51%E -2.91%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.61%E -3.47%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:00
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 02:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 13:30
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -9.43%E -4.35%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:05
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -11.52%E -5.43%K -10.28%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -3.28%E -1.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:05
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -11.52%E -5.43%K -10.28%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -3.28%E -1.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:04
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -11.52%E -5.43%K -10.28%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -3.28%E -1.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:04
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -12.35%E -5.88%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -7.36%E -4.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 18:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%5.4%2026-03-21 18:19