The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Alabama Crimson Tide v Florida Gators

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)

Prediction 40.47%2.47fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.09%40.71%40.36%42.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.282.252.4045.87%43.85%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida Gators (Visit)

Prediction 59.53%1.68fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -5.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.37%59.29%59.64%60.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.591.591.6264.94%62.87%62.89%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 40.47%; Florida Gators (Visit): 59.53%. For Alabama Crimson Tide (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -2.88%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.88%E -1.20%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.34%E -3.36%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 16:54
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.88%E -1.20%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.13%E -4.57%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 18:40
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.88%E -1.20%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.32%E -5.40%K -15.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 18:19
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.90%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 16:54
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.90%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 18:35
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.12%E -2.64%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.34%E -3.36%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 18:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -6.52%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 16:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.34%E -3.36%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 18:40
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 14:40
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.53%E -4.16%K -11.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 18:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -9.35%E -4.18%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 14:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -9.35%E -4.18%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 14:40
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -10.16%E -4.58%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -4.15%E -2.58%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 18:40
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.97%E -4.99%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.13%E -4.57%K -12.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-20 18:40
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -11.78%E -5.40%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 16:30
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -11.78%E -5.40%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 16:30
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -11.78%E -5.40%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 16:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%5.1%2026-03-20 22:44