Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama Crimson Tide v Auburn Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)

Prediction 39.20%2.55fair odd
EV +1.92%
Edge +0.740%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.27%38.91%39.26%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.392.402.6044.44%41.84%41.67%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Auburn Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 60.80%1.64fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -5.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.90%61.09%60.74%63.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.541.541.5967.57%64.87%64.94%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 39.20%; Auburn Tigers (Visit): 60.80%. For Alabama Crimson Tide (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.92%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +1.92%E +0.740%K +1.20%G +0.023%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -10.02%E -6.77%K -20.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -0.819%E -0.324%K -0.536%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -8.80%E -5.87%K -17.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -0.819%E -0.324%K -0.536%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -8.80%E -5.87%K -17.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 17:09
FanDuel🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -5.13%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -6.37%E -4.14%K -11.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 22:40
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 14:39
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.15%E -3.30%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 14:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.15%E -3.30%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 22:30
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.15%E -3.30%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 17:59
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.15%E -3.30%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 17:09
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.37%E -4.14%K -11.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 19:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.37%E -4.14%K -11.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 22:33
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 17:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 17:59
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -9.41%E -6.32%K -19.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-27 20:40
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -9.44%E -4.09%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 22:45
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.80%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 22:30
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.80%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 22:30
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.80%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 22:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%5.2%2026-03-27 22:55