The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Alabama Crimson Tide v Arkansas Razorbacks

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)

Prediction 56.79%1.76fair odd
EV +0.525%
Edge +0.296%
Kelly +0.681%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%56.97%56.85%58.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.651.661.7763.69%60.55%60.24%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit)

Prediction 43.21%2.31fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%43.03%43.15%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.202.2650.00%46.05%45.45%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 56.79%; Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit): 43.21%. For Alabama Crimson Tide (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.525%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +0.525%E +0.296%K +0.681%G +0.004%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -13.59%E -6.79%K -13.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 17:57
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.02%E -2.38%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 17:59
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -4.02%E -2.38%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -7.54%E -3.52%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 18:00
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.15%E -3.09%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 18:00
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.15%E -3.09%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.05%EV -5.15%E -3.09%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.95%EV -7.97%E -3.74%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 17:59
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.15%E -3.09%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.15%E -3.09%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 17:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.15%E -3.09%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 17:59
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.72%E -3.45%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.54%E -3.52%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 17:59
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -6.29%E -3.81%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -4.08%E -1.84%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 17:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -6.29%E -3.81%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -4.51%E -2.04%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 17:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -6.29%E -3.81%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -4.51%E -2.04%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 18:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.29%E -3.81%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 17:59
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -7.99%E -4.93%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -2.35%E -1.04%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 18:00
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.99%E -4.93%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 17:59
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.83%E -6.90%K -19.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.79%E -1.24%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 18:00
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.83%E -6.90%K -19.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.79%E -1.24%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 18:00
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.83%E -6.90%K -19.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.79%E -1.24%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-04-12 17:58