The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Alabama Crimson Tide v Arkansas Razorbacks

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)

Prediction 53.39%1.87fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -5.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.88%53.52%53.30%55.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.751.771.7959.17%57.28%56.50%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit)

Prediction 46.61%2.15fair odd
EV +0.222%
Edge +0.103%
Kelly +0.193%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.01%46.48%46.70%48.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.022.002.1551.81%49.57%50.00%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 53.39%; Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit): 46.61%. For Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.145. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.150, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.222%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.78%E -5.79%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +0.222%E +0.103%K +0.193%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -9.78%E -5.79%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -0.711%E -0.334%K -0.629%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 22:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -9.78%E -5.79%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -0.711%E -0.334%K -0.629%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -9.24%E -5.44%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -3.51%E -1.69%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 23:00
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.11%E -4.09%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 23:00
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 22:59
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 22:56
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 22:59
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 22:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 22:59
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.71%E -5.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 22:59
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.93%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%EV -7.24%E -3.64%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -4.44%E -2.48%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -10.03%E -5.20%K -10.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -4.44%E -2.48%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -10.03%E -5.20%K -10.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 23:00
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -4.44%E -2.48%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -10.03%E -5.20%K -10.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%5.0%2026-04-10 23:00