Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama Crimson Tide v Alabama St Hornets

Kickoff: 2026-05-29 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)

Prediction 84.23%1.19fair odd
EV -3.98%
Edge -3.49%
Kelly -28.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.08%84.61%84.27%88.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.101.111.1495.24%90.70%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alabama St Hornets (Visit)

Prediction 15.77%6.34fair odd
EV +26.18%
Edge +3.27%
Kelly +3.74%
Growth +0.979%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.60%15.39%15.73%16.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.346.008.0018.18%15.76%16.67%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 84.23%; Alabama St Hornets (Visit): 15.77%. For Alabama St Hornets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.34. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +26.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bally Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -11.56%E -11.01%K -231.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +26.18%E +3.27%K +3.74%G +0.979%7.7%2026-05-29 22:29
betPARX🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -11.56%E -11.01%K -231.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +26.18%E +3.27%K +3.74%G +0.979%7.7%2026-05-29 22:30
BetRivers🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -11.56%E -11.01%K -231.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +26.18%E +3.27%K +3.74%G +0.979%7.7%2026-05-29 22:29
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.03%EV -7.35%E -6.68%K -73.50%G +0.000%7.38I 13.55%NM 12.97%EV +16.40%E +2.22%K +2.57%G +0.422%4.5%2026-05-29 15:49
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -7.35%E -6.68%K -73.50%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV +4.10%E +0.621%K +0.732%G +0.030%6.1%2026-05-27 13:10
Bovada🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.35%E -6.68%K -73.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +2.52%E +0.388%K +0.458%G +0.012%6.3%2026-05-26 21:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.21%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -3.79%E -0.621%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 23:09
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.37%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.37%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 15:09
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.51%E -5.86%K -59.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.37%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 23:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.51%E -5.86%K -59.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.37%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 23:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.51%E -5.86%K -59.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.37%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 23:09
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.35%E -6.68%K -73.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -5.37%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 19:19
Fliff🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -9.03%E -8.37%K -112.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -5.37%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-29 22:29
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.21%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -6.94%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.88%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.21%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.12%EV -8.05%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 15:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.88%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.21%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.12%EV -8.05%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 15:19
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.98%E -3.49%K -28.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.31%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 19:58
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.25%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 15:19
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.51%E -5.86%K -59.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.25%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 13:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.08I 92.59%NM 82.24%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.76%12.6%2026-05-29 22:59