The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Air Force Falcons v UNLV Rebels

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Air Force Falcons (Local)

Prediction 33.73%2.96fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -0.751%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%33.84%33.65%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.492.732.752.9040.16%36.60%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UNLV Rebels (Visit)

Prediction 66.27%1.51fair odd
EV -0.598%
Edge -0.399%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.41%66.16%66.35%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.431.421.5072.46%70.16%70.42%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Air Force Falcons (Local): 33.73%; UNLV Rebels (Visit): 66.27%. For UNLV Rebels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.50, with an expected value of -0.598%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.18%E -0.751%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.23%E -5.16%K -18.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 18:28
FanDuel🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -3.53%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -6.56%E -4.65%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 19:50
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.86%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.23%E -5.16%K -18.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 17:27
LowVig.ag🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -5.21%E -1.85%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -5.90%E -4.15%K -14.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -5.21%E -1.85%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -5.90%E -4.15%K -14.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 16:20
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.90%E -4.15%K -14.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 17:14
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.24%E -3.66%K -12.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 17:19
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.24%E -3.66%K -12.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 19:49
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.90%E -4.15%K -14.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 16:18
MyBookie.ag🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.54%EV -8.59%E -3.17%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -5.24%E -3.66%K -12.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 19:53
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -8.55%E -6.20%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 19:50
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -12.30%E -4.73%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 19:49
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -12.30%E -4.73%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 19:50
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -12.30%E -4.73%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 19:50
1xBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.59%EV -16.01%E -6.43%K -10.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.41%EV -0.598%E -0.399%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 16:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%5.3%2026-03-13 19:49