The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Air Force Falcons v New Mexico Lobos

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Air Force Falcons (Local)

Prediction 60.18%1.66fair odd
EV +0.496%
Edge +0.297%
Kelly +0.741%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.29%60.10%60.13%61.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.571.571.6765.36%63.82%63.69%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Mexico Lobos (Visit)

Prediction 39.82%2.51fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -0.994%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%39.90%39.87%42.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.342.352.4545.45%42.80%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Air Force Falcons (Local): 60.18%; New Mexico Lobos (Visit): 39.82%. For Air Force Falcons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.496%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV +0.496%E +0.297%K +0.741%G +0.004%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -10.80%E -4.82%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 15:39
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.32%E -2.72%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.43%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 14:39
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.32%E -2.72%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 13:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -6.02%E -2.55%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 12:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -6.02%E -2.55%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 13:09
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 13:30
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -12.39%E -5.63%K -10.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 15:50
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -12.39%E -5.63%K -10.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 15:49
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -12.39%E -5.63%K -10.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 15:48
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.93%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.43%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 15:49
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.12%E -3.93%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.22%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 15:49
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.12%E -3.93%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.93%E -5.18%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.43%E -0.994%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 15:39
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.93%E -5.18%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.43%E -0.994%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 15:49
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.93%E -5.18%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 15:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -7.93%E -5.18%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%EV -6.82%E -2.91%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.00I 100.00%NM 70.59%2.40I 41.67%NM 29.41%41.7%2026-05-23 14:29