The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Washington Nationals v St. Louis Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-02-24 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prediction 53.73%1.86fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -3.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.94%53.46%55.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.781.801.8158.82%56.21%55.56%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 46.27%2.16fair odd
EV -0.054%
Edge -0.025%
Kelly -0.046%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.04%46.06%46.54%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.052.052.1651.28%48.83%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 53.73%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 46.27%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.161. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.160, with an expected value of -0.054%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.75%E -1.52%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.53%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 18:15
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.75%E -1.52%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.53%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.29%E -1.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 22:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.29%E -1.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 18:44
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.29%E -1.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 18:45
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.29%E -1.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.77%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 16:40
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.90%E -2.77%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 18:45
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -5.44%E -3.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -1.44%E -0.677%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-24 22:35
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.51%E -3.74%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.46%E -3.73%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 20:45
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.054%E -0.025%K -0.046%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 22:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.