The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Toronto Blue Jays v Minnesota Twins

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 17:07 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prediction 57.94%1.73fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -3.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.56%57.91%58.14%59.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.651.651.6962.11%60.63%60.42%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Twins (Visit)

Prediction 42.06%2.38fair odd
EV -0.325%
Edge -0.137%
Kelly -0.237%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.45%42.09%41.86%43.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.272.262.3745.45%44.04%44.15%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 57.94%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 42.06%. For Minnesota Twins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.37, with an expected value of -0.325%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.08%E -1.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 13:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.66%E -1.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-13 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.66%E -1.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-13 17:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.23%E -1.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.27%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-13 13:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.23%E -1.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.63%E -2.99%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 13:44
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.23%E -1.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 16:00
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.23%E -1.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 17:04
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.81%E -2.30%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 14:45
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.81%E -2.30%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 14:45
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.39%E -2.66%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.17%E -0.496%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-13 17:00
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.39%E -2.66%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.27%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 17:00
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.39%E -2.66%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.27%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 16:59
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -6.13%E -3.79%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -0.325%E -0.137%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 17:00
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.13%E -3.79%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.27%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 13:40
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.13%E -3.79%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 13:39
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.71%E -4.17%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -0.325%E -0.137%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 16:48
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.71%E -4.17%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 16:10
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.71%E -4.17%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-03-13 16:50
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%2.8%2026-03-13 17:05
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%3.1%2026-03-13 17:05