The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Toronto Blue Jays v Atlanta Braves

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 17:07 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prediction 61.21%1.63fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -3.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.00%61.24%61.10%62.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.561.561.6065.79%64.08%64.10%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Visit)

Prediction 38.79%2.58fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.576%
Kelly -0.949%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.44%38.76%38.90%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.462.452.5441.67%40.58%40.82%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 61.21%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 38.79%. For Atlanta Braves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.54, with an expected value of -1.46%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.07%E -1.29%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 17:04
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.68%E -1.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.01%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-10 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.24%E -0.888%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-10 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.24%E -0.888%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-10 16:15
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 16:35
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 16:10
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 16:15
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.52%E -2.90%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.01%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 16:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.52%E -2.90%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.01%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 13:24
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.52%E -2.90%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 13:30
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.52%E -2.90%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 13:30
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.52%E -2.90%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 14:55
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.74%E -3.73%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 13:25
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.36%E -4.15%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.01%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 14:35
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.36%E -4.15%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 16:10
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.36%E -4.15%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 16:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -6.97%E -4.58%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -1.46%E -0.576%K -0.949%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 16:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-03-10 17:00
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-03-10 16:55
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.0%2026-03-10 16:45