The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Texas Rangers v Kansas City Royals

Kickoff: 2026-03-24 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Prediction 55.86%1.79fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -3.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.69%55.77%55.81%56.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.711.711.7459.88%58.50%58.48%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visit)

Prediction 44.14%2.27fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.33%44.23%44.19%45.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.152.152.2147.62%46.42%46.51%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Rangers (Local): 55.86%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 44.14%. For Kansas City Royals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.21, with an expected value of -2.45%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.80%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 14:54
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.80%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 14:19
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 17:09
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 17:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.99%E -2.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 13:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-24 14:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-24 14:49
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-24 17:54
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.78%E -1.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 16:08
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.54%E -2.59%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-24 13:49
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 16:04
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 14:30
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.45%E -1.11%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 17:59
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 16:09
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.59%E -3.31%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.45%E -1.11%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 17:58
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.59%E -3.31%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-24 17:09
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-24 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-03-24 18:00
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%2.6%2026-03-24 18:00
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%3.2%2026-03-24 18:00