The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Texas Rangers v Chicago Cubs

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Prediction 59.12%1.69fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.758%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.93%59.18%59.19%60.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.621.621.6763.69%61.92%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Visit)

Prediction 40.88%2.45fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -0.789%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.55%40.82%40.81%42.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.342.342.4044.44%42.81%42.64%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Rangers (Local): 59.12%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 40.88%. For Texas Rangers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.67, with an expected value of -1.27%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.27%E -0.758%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 15:00
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.63%E -2.23%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.94%E -1.68%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 20:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.63%E -2.23%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.80%E -2.98%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 15:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.22%E -2.61%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.89%E -0.789%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.22%E -2.61%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.89%E -0.789%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 18:30
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.22%E -2.61%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.89%E -0.789%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.22%E -2.61%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.53%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 18:25
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.22%E -2.61%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.94%E -1.68%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 18:29
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.22%E -2.61%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.94%E -1.68%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:50
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.22%E -2.61%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.35%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 19:49
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.22%E -2.61%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.16%E -2.23%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 15:00
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.22%E -2.61%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 18:25
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.22%E -2.61%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 14:59
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.22%E -2.61%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 15:00
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 19:10
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.18%E -4.57%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.89%E -0.789%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 19:30
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.18%E -4.57%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.89%E -0.789%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 19:30
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.18%E -4.57%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 19:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-03-10 20:00
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-03-10 18:55
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%2.4%2026-03-10 20:00