The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Texas Rangers v Athletics

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Prediction 55.53%1.80fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.651%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.77%55.60%55.27%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.731.7860.61%58.29%57.80%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 44.47%2.25fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -0.983%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.40%44.73%46.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.132.142.2048.78%46.84%46.73%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Rangers (Local): 55.53%; Athletics (Visit): 44.47%. For Texas Rangers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.78, with an expected value of -1.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -1.16%E -0.651%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 19:55
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -2.27%E -1.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -5.28%E -2.48%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 19:20
BetAnything🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.83%E -1.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.83%E -2.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -2.83%E -1.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -5.28%E -2.48%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 17:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -2.83%E -1.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -5.28%E -2.48%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 17:20
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 17:19
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 16:00
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.83%E -2.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 15:55
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 17:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.83%E -2.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 16:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.05%E -2.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.16%E -0.983%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 15:10
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.60%E -3.30%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.94%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 16:09
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.16%E -3.64%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 15:10
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.27%E -4.35%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.16%E -0.983%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 15:10
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.27%E -4.35%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 19:10
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.27%E -4.35%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 16:10
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.38%E -5.08%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 16:10
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.38%E -5.08%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 16:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-03-12 20:00
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-03-12 19:55
Novig◎1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%3.3%2026-03-12 20:00