默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tampa Bay Rays v Boston Red Sox

开赛时间: 2026-03-20 17:05 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tampa Bay Rays (主队)

预测 58.86%1.70公平赔率
EV -1.70%
优势 -1.02%
Kelly -2.54%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布
57.69%58.93%58.79%60.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.591.631.621.6762.89%61.39%61.73%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

Boston Red Sox (客队)

预测 41.14%2.43公平赔率
EV -1.26%
优势 -0.527%
Kelly -0.903%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布
40.00%41.07%41.21%42.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.322.332.4044.44%43.16%42.92%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Tampa Bay Rays (主队):58.86%;Boston Red Sox (客队):41.14%。 对于“Boston Red Sox (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.43。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.40,期望值为-1.26%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.70%E -1.02%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 13:25
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.32%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-20 12:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -3.73%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 12:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -3.73%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 12:30
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 12:24
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.47%E -2.12%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -4.14%E -1.78%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.47%E -2.12%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.20%E -2.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:00
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.47%E -2.12%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.20%E -2.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 14:09
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.32%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 13:25
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.32%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 13:38
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.56%E -1.96%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 13:24
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 13:25
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.24%E -3.25%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.50%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 16:58
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.24%E -3.25%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.14%E -1.78%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 14:38
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.24%E -3.25%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 16:10
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.82%E -3.64%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.26%E -0.527%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 17:00
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.41%E -4.03%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 14:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-20 17:00
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-03-20 16:55
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%2.8%2026-03-20 17:00