The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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St. Louis Cardinals v New York Mets

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 50.95%1.96fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.20%50.98%53.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.861.871.9156.18%53.65%53.48%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Mets (Visit)

Prediction 49.05%2.04fair odd
EV +0.070%
Edge +0.034%
Kelly +0.067%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.60%48.80%49.02%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.941.942.0453.48%51.49%51.55%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 50.95%; New York Mets (Visit): 49.05%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.039. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.040, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.070%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -9.32%E -5.23%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +0.070%E +0.034%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 13:48
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -4.22%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -2.87%E -1.45%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 17:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 13:44
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 13:45
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.84%E -2.49%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 16:49
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.84%E -2.49%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 16:49
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.71%E -1.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 14:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.69%E -1.41%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 15:15
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 17:19
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.27%E -4.42%K -9.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 14:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.