The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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St. Louis Cardinals v Houston Astros

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 43.74%2.29fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.22%43.80%43.73%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.162.162.2247.62%46.20%46.40%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Astros (Visit)

Prediction 56.26%1.78fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.12%56.20%56.27%56.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.701.701.7460.98%58.94%58.82%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 43.74%; Houston Astros (Visit): 56.26%. For Houston Astros (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.74, with an expected value of -2.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.89%E -1.30%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.92%E -2.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 16:18
Bovada🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.89%E -1.30%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.92%E -2.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 16:58
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.36%E -2.57%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 15:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.80%E -2.22%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-18 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.80%E -2.22%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-18 16:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.80%E -2.22%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-18 14:19
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.36%E -2.57%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 16:15
BetAnything🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.52%E -2.55%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.11%E -1.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 17:00
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.52%E -2.55%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.92%E -2.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 14:19
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.96%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.11%E -1.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-18 14:20
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.96%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.80%E -2.22%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 14:15
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.96%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.92%E -2.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-18 15:34
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -5.96%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.74%E -4.72%K -12.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 15:39
betPARX🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -5.96%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.74%E -4.72%K -12.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 15:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.39%E -2.99%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.80%E -2.22%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 16:08
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.80%E -2.22%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 16:24
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.92%E -2.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 16:09
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.05%E -3.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 15:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-03-18 17:00
ProphetX◎2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%3.9%2026-03-18 15:50
Novig◎2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%4.1%2026-03-18 16:30