The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Seattle Mariners v Los Angeles Dodgers

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 01:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prediction 43.79%2.28fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.652%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.60%43.73%43.73%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.182.192.2547.62%45.82%45.66%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit)

Prediction 56.21%1.78fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -5.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%56.27%56.27%57.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.691.691.7159.88%59.06%59.17%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 43.79%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 56.21%. For Seattle Mariners (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -1.47%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.47%E -0.652%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.57%E -3.32%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 00:00
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.47%E -0.652%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 01:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.89%E -2.27%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 01:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.89%E -2.27%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 01:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.89%E -2.27%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 00:29
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.89%E -2.27%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 01:05
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 00:30
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.57%E -3.32%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 00:59
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.57%E -3.32%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 01:00
Caesars🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.53%E -2.08%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.89%E -2.27%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 00:29
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.53%E -2.08%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.01%E -2.96%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 00:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.97%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.01%E -2.96%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 00:34
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.89%E -2.27%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 00:30
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.89%E -2.27%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 23:49
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.01%E -2.96%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 00:29
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.01%E -2.96%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 00:30
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 00:30
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 00:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-03-14 00:20
ProphetX◎2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%2.6%2026-03-14 01:00
Novig◎2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%2.7%2026-03-14 01:00