The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Seattle Mariners v Chicago White Sox

Kickoff: 2026-02-24 20:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prediction 64.42%1.55fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -4.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.29%64.55%64.38%66.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.481.481.5268.97%67.75%67.80%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 35.58%2.81fair odd
EV +1.75%
Edge +0.614%
Kelly +0.943%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 2.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.64%35.45%35.62%36.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.682.672.8638.46%37.24%37.38%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 64.42%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 35.58%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +1.75%E +0.614%K +0.943%G +0.017%3.9%2026-02-24 18:15
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.23%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 18:10
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-24 19:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 17:15
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 18:15
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 18:15
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.61%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 15:35
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -2.08%E -1.37%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-24 18:25
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 19:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.