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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Seattle Mariners v Chicago Cubs

开赛时间： 2026-03-22 01:10 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Seattle Mariners (主队)

预测 59.99%1.67公平赔率
EV -3.42%
优势 -2.12%
Kelly -5.61%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.61

博彩公司预测分布
59.13%60.11%59.85%61.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.561.591.591.6164.10%62.94%62.89%62.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chicago Cubs (客队)

预测 40.01%2.50公平赔率
EV +0.030%
优势 +0.012%
Kelly +0.020%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.50

博彩公司预测分布
38.42%39.89%40.15%40.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.402.402.5043.48%41.61%41.67%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Seattle Mariners (主队)：59.99%；Chicago Cubs (客队)：40.01%。 对于“Chicago Cubs (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.499。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.500，对应+0.030%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV +0.030%E +0.012%K +0.020%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 23:10
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +0.030%E +0.012%K +0.020%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 22:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.370%E -0.148%K -0.248%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 23:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.370%E -0.148%K -0.248%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 23:39
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.97%E -0.804%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 23:09
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.97%E -0.804%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 22:54
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.97%E -1.65%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 01:04
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.97%E -1.65%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 22:24
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.97%E -1.65%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 01:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.97%E -1.65%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 23:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.22%E -3.30%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.97%E -1.65%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 23:18
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.77%E -2.00%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 23:30
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 23:30
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 22:54
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 22:54
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 00:55
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.97%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 23:30
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.97%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 00:15
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-03-22 01:04
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-03-22 01:05
Novig◎1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%4.4%2026-03-22 00:34