The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prediction 53.89%1.86fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -3.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%54.12%53.66%55.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.761.771.8058.48%56.80%56.50%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)

Prediction 46.11%2.17fair odd
EV +0.527%
Edge +0.242%
Kelly +0.446%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.10%45.88%46.34%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.062.1850.00%48.10%48.54%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco Giants (Local): 53.89%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 46.11%. For Milwaukee Brewers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.527%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -7.31%E -4.25%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV +0.527%E +0.242%K +0.446%G +0.002%4.0%2026-03-15 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -7.31%E -4.25%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV +0.527%E +0.242%K +0.446%G +0.002%4.0%2026-03-15 19:55
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.24%E -3.58%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.857%E -0.398%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 19:54
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.24%E -3.58%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.857%E -0.398%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 19:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 15:39
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.70%E -3.26%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 15:39
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.55%E -2.20%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 18:05
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.08%E -2.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.55%E -2.20%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 19:54
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.08%E -2.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.01%E -2.43%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:40
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.08%E -2.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.01%E -2.43%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:40
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 18:09
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 17:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.08%E -2.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 18:13
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 15:40
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.24%E -3.58%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 19:05
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.24%E -3.58%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 15:39
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.77%E -3.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 19:55
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.85%E -4.59%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.77%E -3.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 18:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-03-15 20:00
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-03-15 19:55
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%2.1%2026-03-15 19:55