The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Dodgers

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prediction 54.11%1.85fair odd
EV -0.970%
Edge -0.530%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%54.07%54.13%54.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.771.771.8358.48%56.47%56.34%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit)

Prediction 45.89%2.18fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -2.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%45.93%45.87%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.062.072.1152.36%48.61%48.31%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco Giants (Local): 54.11%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 45.89%. For San Francisco Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -0.970%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.970%E -0.530%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.36%E -6.47%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 19:45
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 19:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.56%E -2.19%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 19:54
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.48%E -2.66%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 19:40
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.48%E -2.66%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 19:44
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 19:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.22%E -2.38%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 18:15
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 18:15
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.84%E -3.36%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.64%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 18:10
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.46%E -4.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.