Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants v Chicago White Sox

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

60%

40%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prediction 59.82%1.67fair odd

EV -3.69%

Edge -2.29%

Kelly -6.04%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.30%59.82%59.82%60.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.511.571.581.6166.23%63.83%63.29%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 40.18%2.49fair odd

EV -3.57%

Edge -1.49%

Kelly -2.55%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.70%40.18%40.18%40.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.202.322.352.4045.45%43.17%42.55%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco Giants (Local): 59.82%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 40.18%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -3.57%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
theScore Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.69%E -2.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.58%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-12 03:59
FanDuel🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.57%E -1.49%K -2.55%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-12 03:59
ReBet🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30%EV -9.67%E -6.40%K -18.96%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.61%E -5.28%K -9.67%G +0.000%	11.7%	2026-03-12 03:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.