The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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San Francisco Giants v Arizona Diamondbacks

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prediction 53.60%1.87fair odd
EV -0.836%
Edge -0.452%
Kelly -0.983%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.44%53.72%53.66%56.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.781.771.8558.48%56.14%56.50%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

Prediction 46.40%2.16fair odd
EV +1.15%
Edge +0.526%
Kelly +0.972%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.96%46.28%46.34%48.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.052.052.1851.28%48.85%48.78%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco Giants (Local): 53.60%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 46.40%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV +1.15%E +0.526%K +0.972%G +0.011%4.4%2026-03-14 19:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.245%E -0.114%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 19:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.245%E -0.114%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 19:50
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.56%E -1.22%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 19:50
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.49%E -1.68%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 19:50
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 17:05
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.52%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.88%E -2.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.52%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.88%E -2.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 17:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.88%E -2.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 17:05
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.88%E -2.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 17:05
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -1.91%E -1.04%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -5.35%E -2.62%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 19:55
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.44%E -1.34%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 20:00
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 19:50
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 17:05
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 19:10
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -0.836%E -0.452%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -9.06%E -4.62%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 13:40
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -0.836%E -0.452%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -9.06%E -4.62%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 13:40
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -9.52%E -4.88%K -10.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 17:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-14 19:50
ProphetX◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%2.5%2026-03-14 19:50
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%2.6%2026-03-14 20:00